WINNO'S WINNERS: GRAFTON, JULY 14

By Darren Winningham | Saturday, July 13, 2019

NB: As this form assessment was made prior to race-day, please check final fields and track conditions for any changes on the day

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Race 1

A distance race to start off the day – over 3120 metres.
I think that the Jim Jarvis trained Winged Poet (6) is the way to go here. Jarvis has had a number of placings across the Carnival and has yet to crack a winner. I hope this one can run the long distance – he settled well last start and was warming up late, so I reckon he is the one to beat here. Matt McGuren is aboard again.

Consoling (7) ran third in the same race behind Winged Poet (6) he looks like he will be competitive here as well.
Cut The Mustard (2) is trained by Melanie O’Gorman and will run this distance out.

The other runner to consider is from the Ethan Ensby stables – Fencourt (3). His form has been out of sorts – however, he did run second in this race last year. Ethan is a good young trainer he deserves a change of luck.

Selections: 6-7-2-3

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Race 2

Horara Vel (3) trained by the leading Grafton Carnival for 2019 so far - Tony Newing - looks nicely placed first up here.

His only run was at Dubbo and he was unfortunate not to win on debut. He has had 12 months off since that run and has had some recent barrier trials to get him ready for this assignment.

The local trainer John Shelton has had a quiet Carnival with only one winner so far. Queenofthecastle (14) was super last Sunday week ago when she ran a great second. Matthew Paget is in the saddle and I would expect this one to race well on her home track.

Michael Costa trains a three here – most are dual acceptors. I think the topweight is the pick of them – Euro Hustler (1) who has been trialling well and looks forward enough for a bold showing here.

I’m Fluent (5) is trained at Port Macquarie by Jenny Graham and will be ridden by the man of the moment Ben Looker. This filly won a recent barrier trial on her home track and will be right in this as well.

Selections: 3-14-1-5 rough chances 8 & 10

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Race 3

The topweight looks well placed after he ran a great race out of maiden grade in the Grafton Guineas prelude. Round of Applause (1) is back to restricted grade with Ben Looker to ride.

Celebration Day (2) is trained on the track by Wayne Lawson. He ran a solid second to Tainted Affair on Day 1 of the Carnival and I reckon the extra distance will suit him here.

I think it is a race in two – 1 & 2 take your pick.

As for the rest of them Patriot Missile (8) comes back in distance and the 1700 metres may be better.

Tickets For Youth (10) is trained by David Campbell and has several gear changes for this run – I would not be surprised to see an improved effort.

Selections: 2-1-8-10

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Race 4

Another race over 1700 metres.

This race looks a genuine contest between two runners that have already won over the Carnival and are backing up here. Tan Tat Nova (3) trained by Paddy Cunningham and Tainted Affair (6) trained by Tony Newing.

There is nothing between them. Newing has taken the winkers off for this run and put the blinkers back on his runner. I will go for this one at the longer odds.

Genoa (7) is trained at the Gold Coast by Marcus Wilson – he is a lightly raced 3-year-old who could race well here.

Selections: 6-3-7-2

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