WINNO'S WINNERS: DOOMBEN, 30 NOVEMBER, 2019
By Darren Winningham | Thursday, November 28, 2019
DOOMBEN RACES – SATURDAY 30 NOVEMBER 2019
Doomben this weekend with the track rated “GOOD.” The rail is out 3 metres out from the 1400m to the 1600m and then 5 metres the remainder for the course with very hot conditions on Saturday.
The last few meetings have seen leaders or runners on the pace being successful – I think with the rail out so far this weekend that pattern of racing will continue.
NB: As this form assessment was made prior to race-day, please check final fields and track conditions for any changes on the day
Race 1
The two-year-old runners start the program today.
Dusty Tycoon (4) was a WINNO tip on debut at the Sunshine Coast. She got the job done for trainer Rob Heathcote and jockey Dale Smith. I can see no reason why she cannot go onto post consecutive wins here at Doomben.
Gary Portelli from Sydney is debuting a Not a Single Doubt filly here – Avno Doubt (7). She recently won a trial at Kembla Grange by 5 lengths and was impressive. He has booked Stephanie Thornton to ride. She probably looks the testing material here – maybe she will need a run on her mission to the Magic Millions in January.
4 – Dusty Tycoon
7 - Avno Doubt
10 – Sip It Slow
9 – Expresso Love
Race 2
Tough race this – may pay to sit back and watch.
A large and open field with many chances.
So Dapper (6) has won his past three starts for Sheila Laxon & John Symons – Larry Cassidy has a 2 rides for 2 wins record on him and he stays aboard this weekend looking for a hat trick!
Axella (15) I think cannot be overlooked either. She is third up here and up to a much more suitable distance this weekend. She has drawn wide and may need some luck. She probably will race three pairs back but should be able to sprint late.
Simply Sacred (14) is trained by the Edmonds Racing team. She has posted two impressive wins after resuming from a spell. A definite chance.
6 – So Dapper
15 – Axella
14 – Simply Sacred
13 – Enterprise Moss
Rough chance 8
Race 3 The 2019 Country Cups Challenge Final
The bush comes to town with this exciting initiative by Queensland Racing.
Anything can win this race!
The Baker (16) is the favourite and is trained by Glenda Bell. This runner normally races on the speed and won his last start at Rockhampton. He has drawn well to be positioned on the speed – Larry Cassidy is aboard for the first time – there is a few reasons to like this runner.
I like San Vincenzo (10) trained by Ricky Vale – despite being beaten by The Baker (16) last start when he led all the way and seemed to just peak on his run late, he still battled on to run third. I like this runner as he will be the likely leader this weekend – Ryan Wiggins takes the ride.
Buxton (11) is trained by Lisa Donovan and will be ridden by Pietro Romeo. This gelding has been racing well up around Cairns of late. He has run three seconds at the mile – I think that down on the minimum and drawn handy he will be a chance here in the big smoke!
10 – San Vincenzo
11 – Buxton
16 – The Baker
13 – Mustarrid
Rough chance 4
Race 4
Another open race.
Le Palmier (7) will lead here for Gollan Racing with Matthew McGillivray in the saddle. Second up here this weekend I expect him to strip fitter from the first up run at the Sunshine Coast when he sprinted late and ran second to Kalik (6).
Kalik (6) is working nicely through his grades for trainer Tony Haydon and is looking to post a hat trick of wins. He looks like he is above average – my only concern this weekend is the 1200 metres.
Greg Hickman brings his talented gelding Eleven Eleven (4) back to Queensland to resume racing. This runner had massive wraps on him as a two-year-old and it seemed like he just needed some more time to mature. He has won three starts now prior to going for a spell in August. He has had two recent trials – whilst the form says a second and a third, he looked like he could have won the trials if they wanted him to.
Keagan Latham has been aboard for all three career wins and comes to Doomben I think for his first ride here – a genuine chance.
7 – Le Palmier
4 – Eleven Eleven
6 – Kalik
2 – Master Jamie
Rough chance 9
Race 5
This race is too hard.
Vienna Power (18) has made the field for Tony Gollan. He will race on the speed – Jim Byrne is in the saddle. A winning combination on any day and hopefully they will be at it again later in the program in the feature race – George Moore Stakes (Group 3).
Musical Genius (10) resumes here. She always races well fresh and I expect Barry Lockwood to have her ready to fly here this weekend. She gets some weight relief as well with apprentice Corey Bayliss to ride.
Boomtown Lass (8) is trained by Chris Anderson. She resumes as well and was very impressive in a barrier trial here nearly a month ago. She is drawn terrible in barrier 17 – however, she does have an element of class about her when you look through her runs last preparation. If she had drawn a good barrier I would have declared her as a special this weekend – the wide barrier will mean that she will need some luck.
Mark Du Plessis may get sunburn out there with no cover – let’s hope he can get her in and she can race well. They landed a massive betting plunge last weekend – keep your eye on the markets!
18 – Vienna Power
10 – Musical Genius
8 – Boomtown Lass
6 – Lifesaver
Rough chance 7
Race 6
Gollan Racing and Baylee Nothdurft combine again here with A Man To Match (14). Third up this weekend over 2030 metres looks ideal for this runner. Drawn well – down on the minimum – I like him to get back into the winner’s stalls.
The Chris Waller runners must be respected as well. Lord Gododdin (13) has been running over longer distances and drops back to a shorter distance this weekend. He has won here at this track and distance and on that occasion was ridden by Robbie Fradd who is on board this weekend.
The runner that is ridiculous odds at around $25 is Naval Warfare (2). He has been racing very consistently in Sydney and Melbourne in much better grades than this race. He won a recent trial at Warwick Farm and has been sent north looking for a victory – in a race in which he should perform well – plenty of value with this runner each way!
14 – A Man To Match
13 – Lord Gododdin
2 – Naval Warfare
4 – Ready For Danger
Rough chance 5
Race 7
There is some serious speed in this race.
I think that at the set weights Gem of Scotland (1) is a standout selection. She will sit in behind the speed and has drawn handy this weekend. Rex Lipp has a nice type here and Jimmy Orman rides her well.
As for the rest take your pick. Agenuine rough chance is the Mark Currie trained Shooting Love (12) – she has drawn wide but will jump out early and cross them and race handy with Michael Hellyer in the saddle.
1 – Gem of Scotland
6 – Karaja
7 – Sugar Boom
8 – Sukwhinder
Rough chance 12
Race 8 George Moore Stakes – Group 3
The feature race this weekend.
Looks like Tony Gollan has a huge chance to quinella the race.
I’m A Rippa (3) will lead from the good barrier and Jake Bayliss will get his chance to post his first Group winner in Brisbane since his latest return to Queensland. He is riding in wonderfully strong form and is rating his mounts to perfection. He is a very under rated rider who will get more chances in the coming months as he consolidates on his solid recent efforts in the saddle.
Gollan Racing also has Outback Barbie (7) engaged here. She resumed with a barnstorming run first up storming home late in the Keith Noud (Listed) a fortnight ago. Again, a ride of perfection by Jim Byrne in that run. She will need some luck from barrier 13 this weekend but will be storming home late.
Peter Snowden trains Brave Song (2) he has been running in some quality races in NSW – he comes here in form, is drawn well and is a genuine contender in the race.
Les Ross trains River Racer (8). Lout for him to jump on the back of Outback Barbie late and probably try and run her down late. The cheeky Dale Smith is in the saddle and will be looking to grab this feature race!
7 – Outback Barbie
3 – I’m A Rippa
2 – Brave Song
8 – River Racer
Rough chances 10 & 12
Race 9
The last race on a great day of racing over 1350 metres.
I think the distance is the key to the runner I like here. Soxagon (12) was sent around over the mile last start here by trainer Mark Currie – he just didn’t fire. I remember after the last win at Eagle Farm over 1400 metres that he thought we would get further but after his latest effort I think he is a genuine 1200 – 1400 metres horse and hopefully he will be able to get back in the number 1 winning stall this weekend. I see that the jockey of the moment Andrew Mallyon has been given the riding duties this week – he rode a double last weekend and took out the feature race on Tattersall’s day – he is one talented rider that will pay to follow as he gets more chances in Brisbane over the coming months.
Enterprise Prince (1) is trained by Mick Lakey and will have the services of Brad Stewart again this weekend. He has won his past two starts at Eagle Farm and has had an 8-week break. Lakey gave him a solid barrier trial on 12 November and he will be suited by the fast speed in the race. Despite a wide barrier draw he shall sit off the speed and be thundering home late.
Macewen (3) has been a model of consistency in his recent efforts. He has won his past three starts with apprentice Baylee Nothdurft aboard. Despite the massive weight increase he looks to be well placed here again by Tony Gollan. The extra weight is my only concern – but he is racing in fine fettle.
12 – Soxagon
1 - Enterprise Prince
3 – Macewen
4 – Snitz
Rough chance 11
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Jockey’s Challenge
I will go for Jim Byrne this week in what could be a tough field.
Early Quaddie (races 2 to 5 NSW only)
6,13,14,15 / 10,11,14,16 / 2,4,6,7 / 8,10,18 - cost is $192 to $1
Quaddie (races 6 to 9)
2,4,13,14 / 1,6,7 / 2,3,7.8 / 1,3,4,12 - cost is $192 to $1
Value Quaddie (races 6 to 9)
13,14 / 1,6 / 2,3,7 / 1,12 - cost is $24 to $1
Treble (races 7 to 9)
1,6,7 / 2,3,7.8 / 1,3,4,12 - cost is $48 to $1
WINNO V FLEMO
FLEMO won last weekend in a battle royal – we tipped 5 winners between us! Let’s see how we go this weekend. Be sure to check the up to date and amended tips each Saturday morning on Facebook after any track changes or scratchings!
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