DOOMBEN, OCTOBER 11: DAVID FOWLER SELECTS ...

By David Fowler | Saturday, October 11, 2014

Form assessed for a good 3.

RACE 1:

It’s been 77 days between runs for SHOTOVER RIVER (6) but as the winner of 5 from 18, I think he’s a progressive type who will get a good run from the rails gate. I’ll be backing him at $6 or $7 fixed. BOREHOLE (2) can be hard to catch but has to be respected as a last start winner. TAIL AND ALL (4) is generally reliable in these races. Rough chance 5.

RACE 2:

I don’t have sufficient data to make an opinion of this race. For Radio TAB purposes, my top 4 selections are 8, 12, 1 and 7.

RACE 3:

Keen on MISHANI STEALTH (6). Always shown above-average ability and the first-up 5th this track and trip a fortnight ago was a beauty. Gets a good run from the 3 alley. HEADWATER COUNTRY (10) had a tough run with a big weight last time out but goes better now with 5kg less and gate 2. STAR SAMMY (1) is honest in these conditions. Rough chances 2, 3, 4 and 8.

RACE 4:

BUSH AVIATOR (6) won this track and trip 2 runs ago then solid 4th same conditions a fortnight back. Will give you a good run for your money. FLYING HOME (2) finished ahead of BUSH AVIATOR when they last met but mightn’t be as fresh now. DUBAWI GOLD (1) boasts good Vic and SA form and is a definite query. Rough chances 4, 5, 7 and 9.

RACE 5:

Keen on VALERIE D’AMOUR (7). Had the 4 runs back and showed good middle distance form during the summer. Perfect alley with Harrison riding. The $7 fixed looks good to me. COWORTH PARK (1) is the form runner and the deserved favourite. Hardest to beat. ONGOING VENTURE (2) has a place chance. Rough chances 3, 5, 6, 10 and 12.

RACE 6:

QUEEN OF THE LOCHS (4) is a smart mare and runs well fresh. Should bounce from the 2 alley and either lead or race handy. The same applies to ELUSIVE STORM (2) who is the second pick. DISCREET (1) is smart as well but will give the other pair a start. Rough chances 3, 6 and 8.

RACE 7:

YOU DID WHAT (2) is in-form and there is a good push from trainer and jockey. Just a slight doubt whether he will be as dynamic at 1350m but tipped nevertheless. BUAKAW (1) had little luck 1st-up and has a fine record at this track and trip (won 3). GUNDY SPIRIT (6) keeps getting the job done and is a chance again. Rough chances 3, 5, 7 and 8.

RACE 8:

GIRLS COMMAND (6) is talented with a big finish but needs to jump cleanly here to be competitive. Fingers crossed. HAZARD BAY (3) has a rotten alley but couldn’t have done any more in his 2 wins from as many starts. I AM BOSS (2) doesn’t have the profile of some of these but never runs a bad race. Rough chances 1, 4, 9, 11 and 14.

BEST BET: MISHANI STEALTH (Race 3).

BEST EACHWAY: VALERIE D’AMOUR (Race 5).

NO BEST ROUGHIE.

QUADRELLA: 1, 7 / 1, 2, 4 / 1, 2, 6 / 2, 3, 6, 9, 11.

David Fowler