THE MIDWEEK GUIDE: THE IPSWICH QUADRELLA

By Graham, Potter | Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Quadrella commentary and selections for the meeting at Ipswich today. Track is currently a Good 3 and the rail is out 2m the entire circuit. Horses listed in order of preference.

LEG 1: (RACE 5)

THE MAIN CHANCES:

WHATAWALTZ (2): needed the run last time (over 1100m) when first-up after four-and-a-half months. Step up in distance will clearly suit (in fact he ultimately will want further) and has solid form on good going. May still be short of a run but claim from highly competent apprentice (McGillivray) is a real positive factor which could give him the edge when it matters most.

FLYING CHARGER (1): Won two trials before resuming on Dec 2. In his three starts back this son of Snitzel has finished within a length of the winner on two occasions, last time finishing 0.80 lengths behind Silento over this distance. That was on heavy going though and might need more sting out of the ground to be most effective. Still a big chance.

DANGERS:

There are a group of runners here that have fairly consistently finished just a couple of lengths shy of success. These include ... TERIO TOOL (6): Lightly raced four-year-old (seven starts) who is seldom far off the action as he is almost always thereabouts in the betting while LOHNIE ROCKS (10) also consistently comes up just shy of a winning result.

BERNITCHY (3): Second-up here and will be more competitive this time. Wide barrier means he has some work ahead of him though. NEWS EDITOR (5): Looked to possibly be a horse on the move when he won his Maiden and a Class 1 (both over 1600m) in successive races back in July and August last year. Form then flat-lined in two subsequent starts and he was given a spell. First-up danger.

THE UNKNOWN:

EXPAT ENVY (11) scored on debut at double figure odds after winning two trials at Deagon. It is difficult to assess how good he might be after one showing. Handle with care.

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LEG 2: (RACE 6)

THE MAIN CHANCES:

KATY’S SON (9): Has won two out of two first-up. Both wins came over this distance. Appears to handle any going and jumps from an inside draw. Lack of race experience a possible downside but he certainly deserves the benefit of that doubt.

GHERARDINI (3): Promising form in the first half of last year during which time he notched up a hat trick of wins. Was found out in Listed company at the end of that preparation. Resumes after a nine month layoff on a track where he has won two out of three starts. Has yet to win first-up though. Trainer has scratched his other runner in the race.

DANGERS:

TRUE PASSION (8): Eye catching first-up, runner-up finish at the track last time behind Pienkna, who showed to good advantage again on Saturday at the Sunshine Coast metropolitan meeting.

LADY JETSETTER (2): Yet another who enjoyed fair success early last year only to disappear at the end of February before reappearing in Victoria in October where she turned in two lack-lustre runs. Has won two out of four first-up.

OTHERS:

JOINT INITIATIVE (7). Resumes after long, fourteen month layoff for top stable. Could be anything. STELLACRAFT (11), DEEPEST (6) and MEGA D’ORO (12) are all game and honest enough but they look to have some work ahead of them here.

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LEG 3: (RACE 7)

THE MAIN CHANCES:

CARMANERE (6): Last start winner in town over 1650m on the back of a steady stream of consistent money earning performances, mostly over less ground. Good going suits. Likes the track, but does have to negotiate a tricky outside draw.

LONDON LADY (8): Won three out of last four starts up to 1530m. Looks capable of kicking on over the longer trip.

LITTLE LONG HORN (3): Track and distance winner last time. Races for in-form stable. Seldom runs a bad race.

NELEMOS (4): Two runner-up finishes in his last three starts puts him right in the mix here. Both of those results came on heavy going. Back to good surface here on which he has claimed three of his four wins. Might ideally prefer a touch more ground than this but might in fact have to cover that from the worst of the draw.

DANGERS:

FANTISHA (1): Comes off a month’s break and steps up in distance. CAILLEBOTTE (5): Beaten into second place by 1.30 lengths by stable companion LONDON LADY last time. Is now 2.5kg better off with LONDON LADY and they go 136m further so he is entitled to finish close to LONDON LADY although his wide draw might counter that weight advantage.

REVITALISE (2): City form, although not that flash at first glance, is good enough for him to have a say here. ROGALI (7): Won two out of two this track and distance.

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LEG 4: (RACE 8)

THE MAIN CHANCES:

HEARTBREAK HARRY (3): Lined his opposition over this track and distance last time. Change from soft to good going here but that shouldn’t faze him. Draw is a worry but it is his favourite distance.

SHIPWRECKED (2): Won last time he raced at Ipswich (over 1350m).Not disgraced in two Saturday metropolitan starts since then over 1640m and 1615m. Takes a step back in distance. Came back a winner last time he tackled this trip (in October, at the Gold Coast).

DEITCH (1): Promising second last time over 1400m. Also drops back in distance. Two of his three wins have come over this distance.

SHARPE HUSSLER (4): Midweek city winner in decisive fashion in heavy going over 1010m last start. That bodes well for the 1200m trip. He was first-up there. Faces a fair test here second-up, particularly from the worst of the draw, but there was plenty to like about that last win.

DANGERS:

MILITARY MANOR (6): Resumes after a five month break. Could be a danger fresh. ROCKLORD (8): Clearly needed the first-up run last time following an eleven month layoff. Chances are he should still need this run but, as a lightly raced four-year-old (seven starts), he clearly still has room for significant improvement. REVALDOR (11): Last start track and distance Maiden winner.

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SUGGESTED BETS:

$16 QUADRELLA:

Leg 1: Flying Charger (1); Whatawaltz (2).
Leg 2: Katy’s Son (9).
Leg 3: Little Long Horn (3); Nelemos (4); Carmanera (6); London Lady (8).
Leg 4: Shipwrecked (2); Heartbreak Harry (3).

$72 QUADRELLA

Leg 1: Flying Charger (1); Whatawaltz (2); Terio Tool (6).
Leg 2: Gherardini (3); Katy’s Son (9).
Leg 3: Fantisha (1); Little Long Horn (3); Nelemos (4); Caillebotte (5): Carmanera (6); London Lady (8).
Leg 4: Shipwrecked (2); Heartbreak Harry (3).

$216 QUADRELLA

Leg 1: Flying Charger (1); Whatawaltz (2); Bernitchy (3); News Editor (5); Terio Tool (6); Expat Envy (11).
Leg 2: Gherardini (3); True Passion (8); Katy’s Son (9).
Leg 3: Fantisha (1); Little Long Horn (3); Nelemos (4); Caillebotte (5): Carmanera (6); London Lady (8).
Leg 4: Shipwrecked (2); Heartbreak Harry (3).

*Please check official race-card race numbers and individual saddle cloth numbers before placing any bets as HRO will not be liable for any errors that may occur in this regard.

*Remember Racing Queensland benefits most by bets taken with UBET.

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