WINNO'S WINNERS: RANDWICK, SEPTEMBER 30

By Darren Winningham | Thursday, September 28, 2017

RANDWICK RACES – SATURDAY 30 SEPTEMBER 2017

This week Randwick race is the focal point of the racing in Australia.

There are some amazing time honoured races this weekend. The EPSOM ... The METROPOLITAN ... and The FLIGHT Stakes.

The track has had a fortnight off and I am anticipating a good racing surface giving every horse, owner trainer and jockey every chance. The rail is in the true position and the racing surface will be rated “GOOD”.

I see that Joao “The Magic Man” Moreira has come from Hong Kong as well!

A massive nine race program – it is time to hook into the preview this week!

NB: As this form assessment was made prior to raceday, please check final fields and track conditions for any changes on the day.

Race 1

This week we start off the program with the first two year old race of the NSW season with the Arrowfield Breeders’ Plate – for the boys!

It is always hard to pick a winner in this race as these youngsters have had limited trials. I normally like to back horses drawn close to the fence and hope they rail well and kick in the straight.

I am going to the page for my selections. Let’s start with Bondi (1) trained by the Snowden team. I think he looked impressive in his trial. Blake Shinn has elected to jump on this runner. I think this Snitzel colt will jump clean, rail well and should probably just sit off the speed from barrier 3. I will take the $8 on offer each way.

The Godolphin trained Hiemal (3) was very impressive winning a trial as well. Kerrin McEvoy is aboard this Exceed and Excel colt for James Cummings. He looked like the real deal winning his trial at Canterbury and ran a nice time as well.

Performer (5) trained by the all conquering Chris Waller yards has drawn well here too. Hugh Bowman takes the ride on this colt ... again another solid win on the board at Canterbury running a fraction slower in his heat than Hiemal (3).

My roughie for the race is Santos (7), an I Am Invincible colt trained by the Waterhouse and Bott stable. Gai has the knack of getting a nice two year old in her hands and scheduling an upset at this time of the year. He has been listed at $20 – a great price here.

Selections: 1-3-5-7 rough chance 2

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Race 2

Okay it is time to see the two year old girls step out for the first time here!

On the trial form you cannot go past the Brad Widdup trained Witherspoon (6) who was amazing winning a trial at Canterbury. However, in her debut run she has been unlucky to draw barrier 16 of 17 so she will want to be good to convert a win from out there!

Another Snowden runner here looks well placed and well drawn. Satin Slipper (5) was exciting at Canterbury as well. She has drawn better and Hugh Bowman has been booked to ride her – good odds here as well at $9.

Then, as I said in the first race, Gai Waterhouse can produce one this time of the year. My spies tell me that she has a very favourable opinion of this I Am Invincible filly ... Bold Arial (2) ... who won her trial well and has drawn handy in barrier 4. My mail may be right here as there has been some solid support for this one since the markets have opened firming from $12 to $7.50. Adam Hyeronimus rode her in the trial and retains the ride for her debut run.

I liked the trial of Cortesta (3) as well. She will be ridden by Tye Angland who was in sensational form last weekend at Rosehill. This one has drawn wide in barrier 14 but could be a great each way chance.

Selections: 5-2-3-6 rough chances 7 & 9

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Race 3

Not a fan of the race – apologies in advance!

I am looking back at the Brisbane Winter Carnival form here for this race.

So I am going to put Sambro (2) on top ... to be ridden by Moriera for Waller. The run in the J.J. Atkins in Brisbane is enough to say he is the one to beat here. He is third up here this weekend He did win third up last preparation – so I think he is ready to shine.

Hypnotist (3) has been consistent since resuming from a spell and was solid in his last run at Newcastle.

Dissolution (5) is a maiden, but the run in the Ken Russell on the Gold Coast was amazing coming from near last and making a sustained run to get narrowly beaten by Taking Aim. That run would suggest he will like the mile here this weekend.

The last runner is All Too Hulying (4) trained by the vibrant Gary Moore team. This runner was solid over the Winter Carnival and he will appreciate the mile at Randwick second up here, where he has performed well previously. I give him a solid chance here as well.

Selections: 2-3-5-4

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Race 4

The Hill Stakes.

The set weights of this race probably lead you into Sense of Occassion (1) who gets in real well here. I just think that he is better on a rain affected track, so whilst he will be in it up to his eye balls I am steering away from him.

Joao Moriera has a good record on Mackintosh (4) having recorded a win on the gelding. He just never came up last preparation in my opinion. This week he is third up and he has a win third up – something to consider.

My tip is the Godolphin trained Spectroscope (6) who won the Cameron at Newcastle. He is lightly raced and, while not treated well with the race conditions, I think now he has found the winning post he may just go on with it. I think he has the ability to transition to this longer distance and post a win here.

The big improver has been Embley (8) who was sensationally backed last start when he was an all the way winner, dominating in a BM90 at Rosehill. Left alone in front again this week could prove disastrous for the other runners as Jason Collett may be able to dominate and dictate the terms of the race again. I am not too sure he will get his own way in front with Classic Uniform in the race.

This will be a race of tactics and, the more I think about it and with the speed in the race, it may bring the top weight Sense of Occassion (1) right into it.

Punt carefully here is my suggestion!

Selections: 6-4-1-8

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Race 5

The 2017 Flight Stakes over 1600metres (Group 1) – an open and tough race!

Alizee (2) looked like she will appreciate the mile of this race when she won the Tea Rose here a fortnight ago. Glyn Schofield rides the filly again for James Cummings. She is a genuine contender for Group 1 victory on this big day.

Champagne Cuddles (1) just keeps running second – maybe she can step up and post a victory for Bjorn Baker and Jason Collett.

The Brisbane trained Cellargirl (4) ran a barnstorming race last start. She races as if she will love the mile – it is a tough mile at Randwick! Kelly Schweida will be looking for her to settle back and then make a run at the leaders in the straight. I wish part owners and stunning ladies Janelle, Heidi and Tayla Whalley all the best!

Selections: 2-1-4-5

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Race 6

The Premier Stakes – Group 2 level.

Chautauqua (1) is the class runner and, on his first up run, deserves to be favourite here. I want to see him return back to his best and win this race ... BUT I think there is one here that may just knock him off again this weekend.

I thought In Her Time (10) should have won the 2017 Stradbroke at Doomben. I think a few others felt the same way after the race was well. I just hope from barrier 1 this weekend Corey Brown sits the mare off the speed and launches her into the race around the 175 metre mark and she steals a break big enough to hold off the flashing grey Chautauqua (1) who will be belting home in the final 50 metres.

There is my Dazztradarmous prediction of how the race may pan out!

Selections: 10-1-9-2

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Race 7

The 2017 EPSOM (Group 1) – now this is a super race with an awesome field.

I suppose Tom Melbourne (9) will get up this weekend and make all the tipsters look silly. He just finds ways to get beaten. This weekend he has his third different rider in consecutive starts with Glen Boss engaged to come and get him over the line. He has ridden him for the most wins in his career with six rides for three wins and a second. He must have some magical spell over this 7 year old gelding. We will see come Saturday!

Happy Clapper (1) was superb in defeat behind Winx last start here. This gelding always gives 110% and is a genuine race horse who will give you a wonderful sight for your buck! Blake Shinn stays aboard this weekend and he has ridden him to victory on four previous occasions and also in an unlucky second in the Doncaster back in April this year.

I am going wide here and I think there is a real serious contender who has not had a gut buster in his last two starts. I think the “Magic Man” Joao Moriera may be able to get the best out of this lightly raced Chris Waller runner who gets in with 51 kilograms – Comin’ Through (11).

The blinkers come off for this run and a visor goes on ... plus I really think he goes best on dry tracks, so at the $9 on offer I will be backing him here. I think that he probably would have already posted a Group 1 victory earlier this year if the Randwick Guineas back in March was run on a good or dead track. This weekend he gets perfect conditions to show how good he really is.

Now I potted Egg Tart (10) first up and she did run a good race. It has been well documented that she has had a few problems this week ... but again she is super smart and she is destined for bigger glory over the Spring Carnival for sure. She will be even better for that run and I am sure she will come to the track ready to perform at her best.

Selections: 11-1-10-9

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Race 8 The Metropolitan (Group 1)

The distance race of the program. This can be a good sight for the Caulfield Cup in the coming weeks ... so pay attention! These races can turn up some odd results each year as well – so be warned!

I have headed to the bottom of the field here for my selections.

I was pretty confident last weekend tipping Broadside (8) and I was issued a broadside when Auvray turned the tables on him at Rosehill. I think that the weight differential was the deciding factor last weekend. This weekend the Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott trained gelding drops to 52 kilograms. I don’t think he will necessarily have to lead with Chocante (7) in the race, but if he does and gets away with some cheap sectionals in front with Tim Clark aboard, he will win this race!

Life Less Ordinary (9) was solid two weeks ago when he was a nice third behind Libran. He just has not won over 2400 metres as yet, but I think down in the weights here this weekend he gets a chance to crack it for a win.

Foundry (10) is from the Robert Hickmott stables in Melbourne on a hit and run mission for the Williams team. Michael Dee is aboard and we all know that Lloyd Williams takes meticulous attention in placing his stayers this time of the year looking for bigger victories in Melbourne when the Cups start being up for grabs. I think this one is well weighted and will be very competitive.

Selections: 8-9-10-1 rough chance 6

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Race 9

The last race of the day on a superb program!

It seems as if I have just pressed the copy and paste button from Race 8 – No it isn’t a mistake!

I am going for the dynamic Spright (8) to make a successful return to racing here after a twenty week spell. This Garry Frazer trained mare raced in some higher class races last preparation and always put in a grand performance. Back to a BM90 this week and coming off two solid barrier trials, winning the latest one at Wyong, I think that she is ready to run fresh as she normally does. The odds are appealing to me as well at $8 ... each way all day in the last!

The value runner I think is the under rated Echo Effect (9) who is massive odds in the early markets at $12. Forget the last start run. He had no luck here a fortnight ago. Take him on trust with his great second up record and make sure he is in your exotic bets this weekend!

Another runner from the Brisbane Winter Carnival is I Thought So (10) who was solid first up at Randwick when beaten by Isorich. This gelding has a good second up record and I think with some speed on here this weekend he will be very competitive in this grade.

Improvement (11) is a winner at the track and distance – with a good third up record. This could be the knock out chance!

Selections: 8-9-10-11 rough chance 4

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Early Quaddie (Races 2 to 5 NSW TAB only)

2, 3, 5, 6,/ 2 ,3, 5 / 1, 4, 6 / 1, 2 - cost is $72 for $1

Quadrella(races 6 to 9)

1,9,10 / 1,9,10,11 / 8,9,10 / 8,9,10 - cost is $108 to $1

Small Quaddie (races 6 to 9)

1,10 / 1,11 / 8,9 / 8,9 - cost is $16 to $1

Mad Quaddie (races 6 to 9)

1,10 / 10,11 /8,10 / 8,10 - cost is $16 to $1

Silly Quaddie (races 6 to 9)

1,10 / 10 / 10 / 10 - cost is $2 to $1

Treble (races 7 to 9)

1,9,10,11 / 8,9,10 / 8,9,10,11 - cost is $48 to $1

BIG 6 (Races 4 to 9 NSW TAB only)

1,4,6 / 1,2 / 1,10 / 1,10,11 / 8,9 / 8,9,10 - cost is $216 to $1

Jockey Challenge

Looks like a great battle between Kerrin McEvoy and Joao Moriera. I am going Kerrin this weekend in a tough tight battle!

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Best Bets

Race 3 - Sambro (2) around $4.50
Race 5 - Alizee (2) around $2.80

Best Roughies

Race 2 – Satin Slipper (5) around $10
Race 6 – In Her Time (10) around $9
Race 7 – Comin’ Through (11) around $11
Race 8 – Broadside (8) around $10
Race 9 - Spright (8) around $7

Wow let’s take them all for $2 to win to snare $138,600 – now that may break some of these betting agencies!

Good luck and good punting!

PS – GO THE STORM!

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