WINNO'S WINNERS - DOOMBEN, MARCH 10
By Darren Winningham | Friday, March 9, 2018
Doomben this week!
The track is rated “HEAVY” (Thursday) and the rail will be in the true position this weekend.
There is more rain forecast again on Friday – and scattered showers again on Saturday.
I am sure that the track will be a bog unless we get some nice weather over Friday and Saturday.
I think you should be looking for horses that love wet tracks and possibly those down in the weights as well.
In WINNO NEWS this week ...
I see that James McDonald will be re-licensed and can resume riding on 15 May 2018.
He has been given permission to ride track work from 3 April to prepare for the transition back to race riding.
I for one will be glad to see him back in the saddle – and I hope to see him up in Queensland over the Brisbane Winter Carnival. He is a wonderful talent and horseman! Welcome back James!
Care To Think – being aimed at the 2018 Stradbroke – I have some differing thoughts on this.
The So You Think, four-year-old gelding does have a distinct liking for the Doomben track – but will he be able to take on all the invaders from the southern states that come to Brisbane each year for the Winter Carnival. One thing for sure is that trainer Matthew Dunn will leave to stone unturned to ensure he is at his peak come race day.
To be fair Matthew Dunn Racing is based in NSW and interstate runners do have a grand record in the race in the past ten years with only one Queensland trained winner saluting – and that was the Natalie McCall trained River Lad who saluted in 2014. Now that will bring Josh Fleming and his parochialism to it’s knees!
The 2018 NRL season commenced on Thursday night – FOOTBALL is back! Footy as in Rugby League not that wannabe sport “Soccer”!
If you want a tip this weekend in the NRL – may I suggest you look at the odds for the Parramatta Eels to beat Penrith. My wonderful Bulldogs may be a chance in Perth as well at big odds to topple the early 2018 Premiership favourites – The Storm – no Billy Slater and playing away from their home ground in Victoria. The mighty Bulldogs could cause a massive upset in Round 1.
*** I see the “Bronchokers” are back in 2018 – towelled up by the Dragons in Round 1 – towelled up in Round 2 by the Cowboys … and then they may get a win in Round 3 when they play the Tigers (let’s hope not).
NB: As this form assessment was made prior to raceday, please check final fields and track conditions for any changes on the day.
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Race 1
I must mention that Darryl McCabe has taken over the training of Morendi (1) – after regular Darren Graham has been suspended – welcome back to training Darryl. He did mention his desire to train at some point when I did 60 seconds with Winno with him 12 months ago!
The race is dominated by the Chris Waller team from the Gold Coast – not a race I am interested in.
For the record Xebec (4) to win the first race!
Selections: 4-3-5-1
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Race 2
Two-year-old runners on a heavy surface – again no thanks!
Looks like Jeff Lloyd may ride the first two winners on the program. He rides the Les Ross trained Miss Sara (5) who ran a nice race last weekend behind Plumaro.
The interesting runner is the Harold Norman trained Gold Coast filly Mystic Mist (3) who won on a bog at the Gold Coast five weeks ago – the filly will be ridden by Rikki Palmer. It would be great to see Rikki ride a Saturday winner at Doomben!
Selections: 5-3-1-6
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Race 3
Aquatic (7) here for mine – the irony as well on a wet track!
That makes it 3 from 3 for Jeff Lloyd!
If there is a chink in the armour, we could see the Steve Tregea trained Rhyming (10) back in the winner’s stall. This one loves the wet and a strategic jockey booking in Hannah English as well. Her three-kilogram claim could prove the difference if the track is heavy!
Selections: 7-10-5-3
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Race 4
Rob Heathcote and Matthew McGillivray combine here with Don’t Leave Me Out (6) who was a gallant second three weeks ago on a heavy track – that will do me. I won’t make the same mistake this week and leave Matty out! He was in sensational form last weekend with a winning treble!
Selections: 6-3-2-1
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Race 5
Again, trainer Steve Tregea has gone for an apprentice on his runner here – Niccanova (2). He has booked Michael Murphy who claims 3 kilograms and has been in consistent form on Saturdays over the recent months. Let’s hope he wears the correct jockey pants this weekend – he was caught wearing Jimmy Orman’s pants the other week – and WINNO was on the spot to point it out!
Flamboyer (3) from the Kelly Doughty yards on the Gold Coast is a renown wet tracker. He will be there about this weekend. I wonder if the Gold Coast’s number 2 strapper Luke Milligean will be strapping him this weekend? Did I mention he has lost his crown to his stunning partner Chloe Currant!
Selections: 2-3-5-1
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Race 6
One of these Class 3 lotteries on a heavy track – why do they do this to us?
I think there is a nice quinella here – Let’s Party Marty (9) and Suggan Buggan (3). Take your pick but one of these two should be saluting!
Send Us A Sign (7) could lead them here with Stephanie Lacy aboard and prove difficult to run down if you want to scout a little wider.
Selections: 9-3-7-4
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Race 7
Just Orm (2) for me – hopefully I haven’t put the mock on Lani Fancourt. Despite the lack of true wet weather form I think he will handle the damp conditions.
I did tip Yarrapower (10) last start when he won on a heavy track with Jeff Lloyd in the saddle – seems he may get a replica of that situation here this weekend and be tough to hold out.
Live Fast (7) from the Tony Sears stables loves a wet track and Taylor Marshall’s two kilogram claim may help his chances.
Selections: 2-10-7-9
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Race 8
Looks like the Patricia Gesler and Kelso Wood trained Criquette (6) is well placed this weekend after a solid first up performance. With an unbeaten record as well second up I am tipping this is the one to beat!
The Toby Edmonds trained Inspired Estelle (7) gets in well here and will be competitive.
Tyzone (3) has been disappointing in his two runs so far in Brisbane and backs up quickly after a run last weekend. This week he has Quayde Krogh aboard who rode his first metropolitan winner last weekend and the three-kilogram claim gets him in nicely here. I cannot back up again after doing my money on him his last two starts, however, I must have in my multiples.
Selections: 6-7-3-4
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Race 9
Well this is the last race – if we get here!
That will be dependent on the weather and how the track holds up.
Queen Of Heights trained by Chris Waller – ridden by Jeff Lloyd – looks like another winner for this team!
They could bookend the program with the first and last winner on the day.
This runner loves the wet track and despite coming back from 1900 metres last start will be right in this.
I think the danger will be the Bryan and Daniel Guy trained Sweet Adrenaline (17) who will enjoy the wet conditions and will be ridden not too far of the speed by Jim Byrne.
Selections: 12-17-1-7
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Jockey Challenge
Looks like it is a certainty – Jeff Lloyd wins easy! Probably at around $1.10 if he retains all of his rides!
Early Quaddie (races 2 to 5 NSW only)
3,5 / 7,10 / 2,3,6 / 2,3,5 - cost is $36 to $1
Quaddie (races 6 to 9)
3,9 / 2,7,10 / 3,6,7 / 1,12,17 - cost is $54 to $1
Value Quaddie (races 6 to 9)
9 / 2,10 / 6 / 12,17 - cost is $4 to $1
Treble (races 7 to 9)
2,7,10 / 3,6,7 / 1,12,17 - cost is $27 to $1
Good luck and good punting!
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