WINNO'S WINNERS: DARWIN, AUGUST 1, 2018
By Darren Winningham | Tuesday, July 31, 2018
DARWIN CUP CARNIVAL.
Day six of the Darwin Cup Carnival is the Corporate Park Cup. The weather is scheduled to be warm – around thirty degrees – in Winter!
The track is rated “GOOD” and the rail is in the true position for the meeting.
I wonder what I can find here in the way of winners! Make sure you check out the market movers once prices are posted – this is generally a great guide to the winners at Darwin!
Race 1
Cleese (3) has been racing consistently and looks well placed here with a fortnight between runs.
Felicia Bergstrand has won two times on this Kevin Lamprecht trained gelding. I think last start he raced on the speed and just ran out of puff. He is drawn midfield and should be able to get across and lead again.
Gary Clarke has acquired this nice mare from South Australia – Lady Alcatraz (5), who makes her debut on the sand and oil-based track at Darwin. I have been told she has been working well and should race well at her new home track. Her previous form in South Australia was good – keep your eye on this one for any market moves.
Carl Spry trains and rides the 7-year-old gelding Alsoadamas (2). He ran a nice second last start here a month ago.
He normally races behind the speed and then makes his move late. With some good speed in this race he may be the one to finish over the top of them late.
Selections 3-5-2-1
**************************************************************************************************
Race 2
Only a small field of seven here to face the starter in the second race.
Looks another nice ride for Felicia Bergstrand who partners with Kevin Lamprecht again with Global Icon (1).
Despite being an eight-year-old this gelding always puts in every time he goes around. With some faster horses engaged in the race I expect him to sit off them and then sneak along the rail and win.
Dark Whirlwind (2) was used up from the start last start and compacted at the end of the race over 1100 metres. I think the 1000 metres will suit this runner better and he will be competitive in this race.
As for the others there does not appear to be much depth in the field – take your own picks!
Selections 1-2-4-3
*************************************************************************************************
Race 3
I like the chances of the Paul & Tracey Templeton trained four-year-old gelding Mulligan Falls (5) who raced over 2000 metres last start. I think that the distance was too long – forget that run and go on the previous win here over the mile which is the distance he races at today!
Wayne Davis remains on him and he has ridden him to his maiden win and in a nice second the only two cheques he has collected in racing career. He is only lightly raced, and I think he is a nice chance.
Marina (1) is trained by John Hickmott who has brought a team to Darwin for the Carnival. He already has had some luck here with a few winners on the previous days. Sairyn Fawke rode this gelding to a nice second here over the mile last start – he must be included in the chances.
Since I will be in Darwin, I will search out Sairyn and see if he will go 60 seconds with WINNO and tell us how he is doing riding in South Australia and how he is liking the Darwin Carnival in 2018!
Miss Mosh (7) is has the 2017 Darwin Cup winning team combining here – trainer Neil Dyer and jockey Jarrod Todd.
Maybe they can get this five-year-old mare to fire and take out this race! She races over the mile for the first time and she has been moving up in distance since coming to Darwin.
Wicked Rhythm (3) was favourite here last start a fortnight ago when he was narrowly defeated over the mile.
He does race fairly well here over this distance 9 starts (1 win and 4 seconds). Maybe he will fill a hole at odds!
Selections 5-1-7-3
*************************************************************************************************
Race 4 This race is a maiden over 1300 metres.
It is a tough race – many of these have had many starts and not shown much.
I like Moussambani (6) – yes, I know he is a seven-year-old and still a maiden but he has only had 19 career starts and has run 10 placings – would it not be great to see him break through and post a win! Jockey Jarrod Todd gets his first ride on him as well – maybe he can turn the fortune around for the large number of owners and trainer Philip Cole.
Can La (3) ran a nice second here over 1300 metres a month ago. In-between he went bad over 1200 metres. He just didn’t seem to race that generously last start. It may be worth overlooking that run and going on the previous solid second placing.
Barkley (1) will be ridden by Jason Maskiell who is also up for the Carnival and has been riding well so far. This runner has had 30 starts for four placings – I told you this field is challenging!
Tan Tat Blaze (7), another Carl Spry trained and ridden runner, has local lad Cameron Riches listed as an owner. I note the big unit did not give WINNO a leg up for this one in his recent 60 seconds with me. I will just put it in just in case!
Selections 6-3-7-1
*************************************************************************************************
Race 5
Was Agona (1) stepped up to a mile last start after winning over 1300 metres here at his previous run. He didn’t run out the mile – so forget that run. Back to 1300 metres here this week I think he is a great bet!
He has posted two wins at the track and distance and jockey Paul Denton has won on him twice as well. I think the planets may have aligned this week – he should get away with this race!
Rhythmical (4) led last start here and was nabbed in the shadows of the post. I think that he may not lead this start as there appears to be some others that may take up the running. Given those circumstances I expect him to be a solid contender here with Felicia Bergstrand in the saddle again. She has ridden this gelding 7 times for 3 wins and 2 seconds – so maybe she can get him home again here!
Moore Alpha (2) comes off a last start win here over the 1300 metres just ten days ago. Over the Carnival these runners who win normally back up well and perform good again.
Jarrod Todd stays aboard the Heather Lehmann trained runner – a good each way chance.
Selections 1-4-2-8 rough chance 5
*************************************************************************************************
Race 6 Darwin Corporate Park Cup 2018
Our feature race on Day 6 of the Darwin Carnival over 1300 metres.
The Captain (1) and Metallic Crown (2) met last start with the later winning the race.
There is a shift in the weights for this race with The Captain (1) meeting Metallic Crown (2) better at the weights and I think he should be able to turn the tables on the last start defeat.
Jason Lyon versus Brendon Davis again – a battle of tactics – who will reign supreme?
The ex-Queensland horse Patronizing (6) has had two runs in Darwin since being sold and moving north to his new stables and environment. Now he is third up he may just be ready to show his best form – do not leave him out!
Selections 1-2-4-6
*************************************************************************************************
Early Quaddie (races 1 to 4 NSW only)
3,5 / 1,2 / 1,5,7 / 3,6 - cost is $24 to $1
Quaddie (races 3 to 6)
1,3,5,7 / 3,6,7 /1 ,2,4 / 1,2,4 - cost is $108 to $1
Value Quaddie (races 3 to 6) 1,5 / 3,6 / 1,4 / 1,2 - cost is $16 to $1
Treble (races 4 to 6) 3,6,7 / 1,2,4 / 1,2,4 - cost is $27 to $1
Jockeys Challenge
A close battle between Jason Todd and Felicia Bergstrand – it will come down to the last race result!I am going with Felicia today!
More articles
|