WINNO'S WINNERS: EAGLE FARM, 1 FEBRUARY
By Darren Winningham | Friday, January 31, 2020
EAGLE FARM RACES – SATURDAY 1 FEBRUARY 2020
Eagle Farm races this weekend with the track rated “GOOD.” The rail is out 8 metres for the entire course. The weather will be hot – so bring some sun screen and enjoy the day!
Fresh up off a spell – I will be at the track this weekend.
The card is centred around CHINESE NEW YEAR – THE YEAR OF THE RAT!
I think I will stop here.
I must make special mention about the Kilcoy Race Club meeting on Sunday (Australia Day). Amazing to see athletes run on the track in the inaugural Kilcoy Gift with prizemoney of $5.000.
A great day – massive crowd and what a unique way to celebrate Australia Day. You should mark it down for next year!
For those who missed it I have made a You Tube video – copy and paste the link and take a look!
The link is https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H015UdtJrp0
NB: As this form assessment was made prior to race-day, please check final fields and track conditions for any changes on the day
Time to get into the selections now!
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Race 1
A tough way to start the day – two-year-old runners going around here and some haven’t seen the starter as yet. So, watch for any late market movers.
Les Ross Racing has some nice runners here. Mishani Miss (8) was super first up demolishing a field here a fortnight ago with Jackson “McLovin” Murphy aboard. They combine again here. She looked like she had plenty of improvement left in her prior to the run – she should be difficult to knock over again.
The stable mate is Mishani Vandal (4), to be ridden by Jimmy Orman, could be a threat though. He is first up here after a 16-week break. His form prior was very good. He would not have to improve much here to knock off the stable mate.
Uncle Frank (1) has had three career runs and hasn’t been out of the money – the claim for Adin Thompson keeps him in the mix.
Keep your eye on any money for the Gollan Racing trained Looming Large (6). He won a trial on Tuesday this week by 5 lengths and looks like he may have some ability. You simply cannot overlook the Nothdurft and Gollan team – they have been on fire in recent weeks!
Selections:
8 – Mishani Miss
4 – Mishani Vandal
1 – Uncle Frank
6 – Looming Large
Race 2
That dynamic duo of Tony Gollan and Baylee Nothdurft combine with Shalwa (3) here. She has raced in Listed races her past three starts and drops back to a Class 3 – she looks a very good bet here.
I like the stable mate Lashoni (2) first up here as well to be competitive. She races well at the Farm and I believe the 1200 metres is her best distance.
Invigorating (4) is back in grade – look for a bold effort.
L’amante (5) is trained by Will and Peter Hulbert. She won a trial on Tuesday this week and she has a good record. Matthew Palmer is coming to town to ride her – he has a 2 from 2 winning record on her. Keep this runner safe.
Selections:
3 – Shalwa
2 – Lashoni
4 – Invigorating
5 – L’amante
Race 3
This race is over a mile and it has been decimated by early scratchings.
I think there are only two chances in the race.
Trevelyan (4), was narrowly beaten by A Man To Match at the Gold Coast last start four weeks ago – that is good enough form for this small field.
Chris Waller trains Gresham (7) who comes off a great run on Magic Millions Day when narrowly beaten by Etana. He did rear at the start last time and last some ground – a better start should see him in the finish here.
Selections:
4 – Trevelyan
7 – Gresham
10 – Great Powers
3 – Savwell
Race 4
Rob Heathcote Racing has the key to this race having two solid chances Cool Chap (1) and Our Mantra (7). I think with the weight differential Our Mantra (7) may do just enough to knock off the stable mate this weekend. Cool Chap (1) has never won over this distance but does have some nice placings.
The Chris Waller trained pair of New Universe (3) and Le Juge (2) have solid enough form to be able to spoil the Heathcote party!
Selections:
7 – Our Mantra
1 – Cool Chap
3 – New Universe
2 – Le Juge
Rough chance – 4 – Emphasis
Race 5
An open sprint race here – a tough race!
I think Ditmas (4) was unlucky last preparation striking some horrible wet tracks where he just didn’t fire. I am going to forgive those runs. He recent trial win at the Gold Coast a fortnight ago would suggest he may be ready for a nice preparation this time around – at $10 he is great each way value.
Pizonie (8) I thought was a class above them last start and things just didn’t go his way. If you can forgive him that run he deserves to be on top here. I just went wider looking for some value.
Gypsy Toff (10), trained by Tom Button, has an impressive first up record and has performed well in the past. With 8 wins from 18 starts and Luke Tarrant aboard she could spring a massive upset here first up!
Selections:
4 – Ditmas
8 – Pizonie
10 – Gypsy Toff
2 – Desert Man
Rough chance - 7 – Defence Missile
Race 6
The first leg of the Quaddie. It looks a hard race on paper.
Tokoriki Lad (5) is sent out by Gollan Racing and has Matthew McGillivray in the saddle. Forget the last run on Magic Millions Day. He dropped back to 1300 metres then. He loves 1400 metres. He is fourth up here this weekend – I think he will improve dramatically against this lot.
Matthew Dunn trains Impasse (2) with Robbie Fradd to ride. He was solid first up a fortnight ago and will have taken some benefit from that run. He has been well supported since the markets have opened – a definite chance.
Red Doulton (9) just loves Eagle Farm and Natalie McCall has this mare going well.
The Tax Accountant (10) looks like he is ready to show his best with three runs under his belt this preparation. Jake Bayliss is aboard. Akage (7) won at massive odds first up with Andrew Spinks aboard for Brian Crowley – he gets similar conditions here and could be another surprise winner.
Selections:
5 – Tokoriki Lad
2 – Impasse
9 – Red Doulton
10 – The Tax Accountant
Rough chance 7 - Akage
Race 7
A BM70 over the mile. Another tough race – may just watch this one!
Slow Hands (7) circled the field and came from last on the tun last start at Doomben to win impressively. Trained by Kelly Schweida Racing he looks well placed again this weekend.
However, if they are not winning from back in the field it may pay to follow something ridden closer to the lead. That runner would be Alderman (5) who should race forward and have some lengths on Slow Hands (7) when they come into the straight. He is trained by Lindsay Gough and has Jimmy Orman aboard. He is a genuine contender.
The Kingdom (8) won here last start and steps up in distance and should handle this assignment – just some concerns with him running out the mile.
Selections:
7 – Slow Hands
5 – Alderman
8 – The Kingdom
15 – Sayl
Race 8
Open sprint over 1200 metres – probably the best race and field of the day.
I am going with Freddie Fox Trot (2). I just think he is close to ripping off a solid win. He must be a chance this weekend with Justin Huxtable in the saddle. I think with a rider that can ride him out strongly we may see him return to his winning form!
Manaya (6) from the Michael Costa stables on the Gold Coast normally goes well fresh and has the blinkers off and winker on for this first up assignment.
Femme Fireball (7) has a tremendous second up record and is one who could also show up here for Ronnie Stewart and Robert Heathcote.
Selections:
2 – Freddie Fox Trot
6 – Manaya
7 – Femme Fireball
3 – Cruze
Race 9
The last race of the day – for the three-year-old runners.
I was on the Brett Cavanough trained Eiger (3) last start. He is fourth up this start and never got much luck in the straight a fortnight ago. The blinkers go back on this weekend - $10 each way looks great value.
Spiritual Rose (15) is around $51 and I thought her run wasn’t too bad last start first up. I thought she would strip fitter for that effort as well. Maybe there is a reason to follow her this weekend with blinkers going on here as well and stepping up to 1400 metres. I think ridden closer from the good barrier she may be a massive improver.
The more favoured stable mate is Ingear (10) who was flashing home late last start. She was held up at a vital stage and must be considered here. She steps up in distance as well.
Heathcote Racing has Roasted (6) looking to post consecutive wins. She will race on the speed – if they are leading and winning this is the safest way home in the last race.
It’s a tough way to end the day – but if my trifecta and first 4 gets up I will be celebrating at the Casino – come and join me!
Selections:
15 – Spiritual Rose
3 – Eiger
10 – Ingear
6 – Roasted
Rough chances – (4) Gala Miss and (7) Baroda
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Jockey’s Challenge
Looks like a solid battle between Matthew McGillivray and Baylee Nothdurft – it could end up a tie!
Early Quaddie (races 2 to 5 NSW only)
2,3,4 / 4,7 / 1,3,7 / 4,8,10 - cost is $54 to $1
Value Early Quaddie (races 2 to 5)
3 / 4 / 1,7 / 4,8 - cost is $4 to $1
Quaddie (races 6 to 9)
2,5,9,10 / 5,7,8 / 2,6,7 / 3,6,7,10,15 - cost is $180 to $1
Value Quaddie (races 6 to 9)
2,5 / 5,7 / 2,6,7 / 3,6,10,15 - cost is $48 to $1
Treble (races 7 to 9)
5,7,8 / 2,6,7 / 3,6,7,10,15 - cost is $45 to $1
WINNO V FLEMO
WINNO copped a towelling last weekend from FLEMO in our tipping competition. FLEMO is on holidays this weekend – I will post my selections and any late mail! Be sure to check the up to date and amended tips each Saturday morning on Facebook after any track changes or scratchings!
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