WINNO'S WINNERS: DOOMBEN, 9 MAY 2020

By Darren Winningham | Thursday, May 7, 2020

DOOMBEN RACES – SATURDAY 9 MAY 2020

Doomben races this weekend with the track rated “SOFT”. The weather is forecast to be overcast leading into the weekend so the track may stay in this range and should not adversely impact any runner. The rail will be out 4 metres this weekend.

This is week 1 of the revised BRC Carnival for 2020 – featuring the Group 3 BRC Sprint.

Time to look at the program for this weekend at Doomben – some tough fields that may prove difficult to profit from.

NB: As these selections were made prior to race-day please check final fields and track conditions for any changes on the day

Race 1

A tough way to start the program.

Papa Jo (10) won three starts ago at Eagle Farm. Since then he has been racing over shorter distances at the Gold Coast and Ipswich. I think stepping up to 1050 metres here with Brad Stewart in the saddle for Lindsay Hatch this could be the runner to beat.

Les Ross Racing has been quiet in recent weeks. Maybe they can win this race with Defence Missile (6). He races well here at Doomben and should be in the finish.

Selections:

10 – Papa Jo
6 – Defence Missile
4 – One Stryke
7 – Tisani Magic
Rough chances – (13)The Great Boombino (14) Hi Fiver

Race 2

Not a race I can get enthusiastic about.

Tony Gollan holds the key here with his two runners – Advance Warning (3) and Galtero (2).

Both runners will be ridden by apprentices that ride well – Advance Warning (3) – Baylee Nothdurft and Galtero (2) – Adin Thompson. There is not much between them.

Watch The Cat (6) is on a quick back up after being sent out favourite last weekend and performing only average. There has been some support for this runner since the markets have opened.

Selections:

3 – Advance Warning
2 – Galtero
6 – Watch The Cat
7 – Joymaker
Rough chance – (11) Paris Crystal

Race 3

Another race where Gollan Racing is well represented.

Hollaback Girl (2) will be ridden by Jim Byrne – welcome back you good thing! (Despite you being a Queenslander and all!). She is deep into her preparation this time up. She has not won yet but has been racing very consistently and deserves a chance to be in the winner’s stalls.

Trail of Glory (5) races well here at Doomben. She has a habit of getting back in her races and flying home late. The speed in this race probably suits her but she will need some luck in the straight.

Decisive Heart (12) from the Edmonds Racing stables is only lightly raced. She gets her first look at Doomben this weekend with Matthew McGillivray to ride.

Selections:

2– Hollaback Girl
5 – Trail Of Glory
12 – Decisive Heart
7 – I Am Venus

Race 4

Another open race.

The Steven O’Dea Racing trained The Wild One (13) looks well placed here second up over 1200 metres. Stephanie Thornton takes the ride and she will have her handy just off the speed in running. I think that she will be too good over the final 100 metres.

Stellar Power (5) will jump and go forward like he normally does and will ensure that this race is run true. Apprentice Nick Keal rides and his claim will be vital for this runner.

Potro Duro (8) is an Edmonds Racing runner from the Gold Coast. He posted a solid win last start on his home track. He has raced at Doomben previously and has posted two good seconds.

Moscini (2) is an interesting runner. I would have had him in my top two if he had drawn a barrier. From barrier 15 he will need some luck – Brad Stewart will have to put in a great ride to get him home.

Selections:

13 – The Wild One
5 – Stellar Power
8 – Potro Duro
2 – Moscini
Rough chance – (3) Patches

Race 5

Enterprise Prince (5) is second up this weekend for Mick Lakey - he has an exceptionally good second up record. Despite the wide barrier draw he will race midfield prior to making his run late.

Macewen (1) did not really perform last start at the Sunshine Coast – maybe we should forgive that run and go on his previous win here. Adin Thompson is in the saddle.

Bold Warrior has won his last two starts on the Gold Coast for Gary Doughty – on both occasions Nick Keal has ridden the gelding. He stays aboard for the run this weekend. This runner has never won at Doomben in eight starts.

Fasano (9) put in a poor effort last start at the Sunshine Coast. I think back at Doomben and with Andrew Mallyon to take the ride he could improve.

There are many chances in this race – other chances such as Inquiry (4) and Red Chase (8) are well placed.

Selections:

5 – Enterprise Prince
1 – Macewen
3 – Bold Warrior
9 – Fasano
Rough chances – (4) Inquiry (8) Red Chase

Race 6

The first leg of the Quaddie this weekend.

I think that Gotta Kiss (2) ran a superb race first up and she looked like she needed the run. This weekend Stephanie Thornton keeps her winning association with her, and I expect her to jump back into the first placed stalls after the race.

Dusty Tycoon (8) knocked up late first up. He will be better for that effort as well. Dale Smith has been booked by Robert Heathcote for this filly. He has been aboard for both of her career victories.

Plutocrat (10) is a Chris Anderson runner who won her only career start back in February. She has had some solid recent barrier trials and will be awesome odds if you think a roughie can shine here! She is around the $31 mark and could cause a major upset. She has drawn wide in barrier 16 but I think she may be ridden a little quieter by Matthew McGillivray this weekend and will finish off strong late.

Selections:

7 – Gotta Kiss
8 – Dusty Tycoon
10 – Plutocrat
2 – The Brotherhood

Race 7

A race where the Chris Anderson runners could be right in the finish. Profit (1) and Ballistic Boy (2) will be at opposite positions in the running. Profit (1), to be ridden by Jimmy Orman, will be at the rear of the field whilst Ballistic Boy (2) with Brad Stewart aboard will be racing handy in behind the speed.

That probably means that Ballistic Boy (2) will be hard to roll here whilst Profit (1) will need some luck to win. However, at the set weights conditions of this race it does bring Profit (1) in well. There is some genuine speed in the race – from the nice barrier maybe Jimmy Orman may place him closer to the speed this weekend.

Vanna Girl (8) is an Edmonds Racing runner who won well last start on the Gold Coast over 1400 metres. She has a solid record over the mile and will be partnered by Matthew McGillivray. She looks well placed here by Toby and Trent Edmonds this weekend.

Don’t Waiver (4) from the Kendrick Racing yards on the Sunshine Coast could be a roughie to fill a place.

Selections:

8 – Vanna Girl
2 – Ballistic Boy
4 – Don’t Waiver
1 – Profit
Rough chance – (10) Joliette

Race 8

The feature race – the Group 3 BRC Sprint.

Kementari (1) from the Godolphin racing team has been racing in Group 1 and Group 3 races since resuming. He has had a three week freshen up and sent north to Queensland obviously looking for some black type races over the Carnival.

James Cummings and his team successfully targeted the Carnival in 2019 and had some tremendous results. This runner commands respect and Ryan Maloney has teamed with the “blue army” this weekend.

Outback Barbie (8) always races well fresh. Jim Byrne is in the saddle. Her recent trail here 3 weeks ago was tremendous and she looks very forward enough to be super competitive in this race.

Her stablemate is Vega One (5) the runner which was the centre of attention after his first up effort at the Sunshine Coast. That enquiry ended on Thursday with Baylee Nothdurft receiving a rather disproportionate 3-month suspension. It appears that he will seek an internal review of the penalty. Despite the hoo-ha in the social media forums I thought that he was a victim of unfortunate circumstances. We all make mistakes – we all make choices some we learn from – I think this is one of those occasions! I wise person once told me “you never stop learning until the day you die”. I am certain that Baylee is much wiser for his ride on the gelding and will reflect on it and learn from it.

Now I have had my say – Vega One (5) will be competitive. I just note he has always had a poor record in Group races. For that reason, I am waiting until he gets over 1400 metres before I will be backing him!

Victorem (2) from the Jenny Graham stable at Port Macquarie has settled in well in Brisbane. He had a solid hit out three weeks ago at Doomben. He races well fresh and is ideally placed in this field first up. Brad Stewart has the ride on him – this is his first ride aboard the gelding.

Tambo’s Mate (9) from Stuart Kendrick stables stormed home last start at the Sunshine Coast over 1000 metres and just missed. If the race had been 50 metres more, he would have claimed a victory!

Selections:

8 – Outback Barbie
1 – Kementari
2 – Victorem
9 – Tambo’s Mate
Rough chances – (5) Vega One and (6) Deep Image

Race 9

Tony Gollan has Tokoriki Lad (3) and Amicitia (13) in the race who look like they will both be extremely competitive.

Tokoriki Lad (3) was run down in the shadows of the post last time out at the Sunshine Coast by Profit (Race 7 – horse 1). If he can perform to that standard here he will be right there again when the whips are cracking.

Amicitia (13) has drawn terrible in barrier 17 – will need some luck from out there.

I have a healthy respect for Pressway (7) from the Steven O’Dea stables to be ridden by Boris Thornton. I just think that with the speed in the race and the way the race will be run he could be a genuine long priced chance.

Erringhi Spring (15) is third up this weekend and has a third up record that is very solid. I think that she will be getting home late out wide – Barry Lockwood trains this one.

Just to confuse the issue Canapes (14) from the Paul Butterworth stable is drawn well this weekend and is third up here. Larry Cassidy to ride him again. I think the mile will suit him.

Selections:

3 – Tokoriki Lad
7 – Pressway
15 – Erringhi Spring
13 – Amicitia
Rough chances – (14) Canapes, (17) Don’t Waiver
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Jockey’s Challenge

Looks like a tough day for the jockey’s challenge. There is Brad Stewart – Matthew McGillivray – Stephanie Thornton and Adin Thompson that all come into calculation. It could be a narrow win to Brad - just! But watch out for Matthew. He seems to pop up on these big days and he does have a nice book of rides.

Early Quaddie (races 2 to 5 NSW only)

2,3,6 / 2,5,12 / 5,8,13 / 1,3,5,9 - cost is $108 to $1

Value Early Quaddie (races 2 to 5)

2,3 / 2,5 / 5,13 / 1,5,9 - cost is $24 to $1

Quaddie (races 6 to 9)

7,8,10,15 / 1,2,4,8 / 1,2,8 /3,7,13,15 - cost is $192 to $1

Value Quaddie (races 6 to 9)

7,8,10 / 1,2,8 / 1,8 / 3,7,15 - cost is $54 to $1

Treble (races 7 to 9)

1,2,4,8 / 1,2,8 / 3,7,13,15 - cost is $48 to $1

WINNO V FLEMO

FLEMO beat WINNO last weekend in our tipping competition on a tough day that looked like we could tip a few winners. Then the results did not go our way! Be sure to check the up to date and amended tips each Saturday morning on Facebook after any track changes and scratchings!

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