WINNO'S WINNERS: SUNSHINE COAST, JULY 3, 2021
By Darren Winningham | Friday, July 2, 2021
SUNSHINE COAST RACES – SATURDAY JULY 3, 2021
This weekend the final leg of the Queensland Carnival takes place at the sunshine Coast where the track is rated “HEAVY” and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
With two meetings already abandoned in Queensland this week, the racing surface is likely to have a big influence on the day and I probably will go out on a limb and say it could be a rough day for punters.
As there is likely to be more scratchings I will keep it brief.
NB: As these selections were made prior to race-day please check for any changes to track conditions and for any scratchings on the day.
Race 1
The Chris Waller trained I Could Do Better (6) thrives on wet tracks - looks well placed here. Jim Byrne will ride.
So Dapper (7), trained here by John Symons & Sheila Laxon, could prove the one to upset them – Michael Hellyer loves this track and will be sure to get the best out of this gelding.
Selections:
6 – I Could Do Better 7 – So Dapper 2 – Cinquedea 1 – Indispensable Rough chance – (3) Prospectus & (8) Warp Speed
Race 2
Not a race I am keen on.
Maybe the Scott Morrisey trained Shinjin (7) can have a change of fortune. Did run a solid second to East Asia (11) last time out at Doomben. Meets him better at the weights for that defeat. Madeleine Wishart to ride – her claim will be beneficial, and he has won four times on heavy tracks.
Selections:
7 – Shinjin 9 – Spirit Espirit 11 – East Asia 10 – Steinbrenner Rough chance – (4) Kali & (5) Love Express
Race 3
The two-year-old runners go around here.
Berdini’s Girl (8) has no form on a heavy track but has coped well previously on soft surfaces. Trained by Chris Munce and to be ridden by Justin Huxtable, she may be the one to get the run of the race and finish off strongly.
A big watch on Habib (5) from the Mark Currie yards. They have always had an opinion of this gelding. Resumes from a spell after a nice trial recently. Brad Stewart aboard – could be the testing material for this race. $21 is over the odds for mine.
Selections:
8 – Berdini’s Girll 5 – Habib 1 – Miss Hipstar 6 – Sacca Rough chance – (11) Avolonte Race 4
Tough race this one – over 1000 metres. A number of these are resuming on a heavy track.
I think that Steven O’Dea & Matthew Hoysted runners hold the key to the race. To be fair, the stable could train the trifecta here with their runners – they all have genuine chances.
I have settled on Jami Lady (3) who will be ridden by Jag Guthmann-Chester. She is second up, and I think she will be better for the run recently at Doomben. She likes this circuit and does have heavy track form.
Gee Tee Tee (5) and Totally Charmed (6) are the stable-mates – both have good form for an event like this. They will be ridden by Ben Thompson and Stephanie Thornton respectively.
Selections:
3 – Jami Lady 5 – Gee Tee Tee 6 – Totally Charmed 8 – Bold Style
Race 5
I like Mishani Miss (3) from the Les Ross Racing team. Four wins from 5 starts here and a win on a heavy track – that will do me. Plus, the stable apprentice Sheriden Tomlinson rides her here and his three-kilogram claim will be a massive advantage. Big odds as well at $14. Maybe Sheriden can get a win on the board and resolve the losing streak he has had recently following the hopeless QLD Maroons team! (Did I mention that NSW has won the series already!).
Goldsborough (1) is trained here and loves the track – just a concern with the huge weight. If you want a roughie to throw into the mix, I see that Steven O’Dea & Matthew Hoysted have Rich Lister (11) at $26 in the race. She did resume here back on 23 May and ran a nice second – down in the weights and Stephanie Thornton to ride - maybe a blow out chance.
Selections:
3 – Mishani Miss 1 – Goldsborough 2 – Superare 7 – Incerto Rough chance – (11) Rich Lister
Race 6 WINX GUINEAS (Group 3)
First leg of the Quaddie this weekend. A tough assignment.
Dzsenifer (11), trained here by Gary Duncan and with Jim Byrne to ride, gets the nod from me. Second up – loves the track and should handle the wet conditions.
Our Playboy (2) has won on a heavy track. Will be ridden this weekend by Robbie Fradd and I think you can safely overlook the run last start at Ipswich – had no luck. Back to a big open track, he will be thundering home late out wide and probably will claim a feature race and repay trainers Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) who have been looking for some black type for this Sebring gelding.
Tamilaide (9), trained by Les Kelly and to be ridden by Brad Stewart, is undefeated in two starts on heavy tracks. Warrants respect – do not leave this one out.
Chris Munce trains the progressive Palaisipan (14). What can you say, four starts for four wins – she just keeps turning up and shaming the opposition. Not sure how she will handle the heavy surface – but, if she gets through the going, she could put this lot to the sword again – a great ride feature race for Justin Huxtable.
Selections:
11 – Dzsenifer 2 – Our Playboy 9 – Tamilaide 12 – Glitter Strip Rough chance – (1) Tumbler Ridge & (14) Palaisipan
Race 7 CALOUNDRA CUP (Listed)
This is an open race – first leg of the treble as well.
The Joe Pride trained Stockman (4) won the McKell Cup at Rosehill last start on a heavy track. Has superb form on this type of going and looks well placed. Ryan Maloney to ride for the stable.
Keep your eye on the Kelly Schweida trained Cellarmaid (9) who gets through heavy going quite well. Will be ridden by Ben Thompson and is down on the weights – could upset the favourite.
Flash Aah is trained by Mitchell Fry – did run a great third in the recent Ipswich Cup and does like a wet track – keep safe.
Selections:
4 – Stockman 9 – Cellarmaid 5 – Flash Aah 2 – Wu Gok
Race 8 GLASSHOUSE HANDICAP (Listed)
This is an open affair.
I am staying with the Gollan Racing trained Snitch (9) who won the Eye Liner last time out. Has won here at the track and I only have one concern – the heavy track. If he can get through the heavy conditions, he looks to be very competitive again here this weekend – Ben Thompson stays aboard.
Splendoronthegrass (16) is trained here by David Vandyke – Stephanie Thornton retains the ride. This mare has drawn terrible in barrier 16.. Maybe she can get in and get some cover. She thrives at this track and loves a heavy surface – down on the minimum she represents a solid each way chance at $26.
Charleise (6) jumped out of the ground late last start at Eagle Farm to win easily over 1500 metres for the Ciaron Maher & David Eustace yards. Jim Byrne rides and will need some luck from barrier 17. She likes wet tracks and will be well suited with the speed on in this race.
Niccanova (1) was unlucky in the Group 1 Stradbroke where he got caught in the worst section of the track. Has won here and does like heavy tracks – despite the huge weight he is a class above these – just needs some luck and Jimmy Orman knows him well.
I must mention one here at $51 – I mean I like that number “50” – how does “50” sit with you Luke Tarrant, who will ride Barefoot (17) for the Tony & Maddy Sears training combination. 50 is a great number if you are a NSW winner like me – sorry Luke! Back to my reasoning. This runner ran a magnificent race last time out at Ipswich in the Gai Waterhouse and was finishing strongly over the 1200 metres. He goes best at the mile for mine – this track being heavy and the fact that he will be finishing the race of strongly makes me think he is a big knockout chance at huge odds. Luke – I think you can win your home track feature race!
Selections:
9 – Snitch 6 – Charleise 16 – Splendoronthegrass 1 – Niccanova Rough chance – (10) Boomsara & (17) Barefoot
Race 9
The last race on a big day is over 1200 metres.
No interest at all in the race.
Derulo (11) for Kacy Fogden comes off a nice win last time out at the Gold Coast – does handle a wet track and will be ridden by Bobby El-Issa.
L’Cosmo (8) won here on her home track last time out. Trained by David Vandyke and with Ryan Maloney to ride again. These two are a lethal combination at this track – much respect for this runner.
I give a rough chance to Westlink (5) – does love the heavy surfaces and will be good odds.
The aptly named Jetski (9) may glide across the wet surface and should be not overlooked.
Selections:
11 – Derulo 8 – L’Cosmo 5 – Westlink 9 – Jetski ____________________________________________________________________
Jockey’s Challenge
The field will be open this weekend with several jockeys having genuine chances. Ben Thompson, Jim Byrne and Brad Stewart all look like they each have some nice rides. Something on Ben this weekend for mine.
Early Quaddie (races 2 to 5)
7,9,11 / 1,5,6,8 / 3,5,6 / 1,2,3 - cost is $108 to $1
Value Early Quaddie (races 2 to 5)
7,9 / 1,5,8 / 3,5 / 1,2,3 - cost is $36 to $1
Quaddie (races 6 to 9)
2,9,11,12 / 4,5,9 / 1,6,9,16,17 / 5,8,11 - cost is $180 to $1
Value Quaddie (races 6 to 9)
2,9,11 / 4,9 / 6,9,16 / 8,11 - cost is $36 to $1
Treble (races 7 to 9)
4,5,9 / 1,6,9,16,17 / 5,8,11 - cost is $45 to $1
WINNO V FLEMO
WINNO got FLEMO last weekend in our tipping competition. This weekend FLEMO is back on his home track, so he has all the advantage – keep your eye on his tips. I had better not mention how dismal QLD have been in the footy … or should I? I think that if NSW win the series 3 NIL – a “WHITEWASH” - there must be some type of punishment for FLEMO and the other QLDer who has been missing in action in recent weeks – yes, I am talking about you Will Allam!
Be sure to check the up to date and amended tips each Saturday morning on Facebook after any track changes and scratchings where I will post our selections and any late mail!
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