WINNO'S WINNERS: EAGLE FARM, MARCH 2, 2024
By Darren Winningham | Thursday, February 29, 2024
EAGLE FARM this weekend with the track rated ‘Good’. The rail is out 7 metres for the entire circuit.
In recent weeks the track has played very fast and jockeys have elected to stay off the rail. I expect them to come wide this weekend as the races progress across the day.
The weather is forecast to be HOT – damn HOT! Bring your sunscreen if you are heading to the track.
Time to look at the program.
NB: As these selections were made prior to race-day, please check for any changes to track conditions and for any scratchings on the day.
Race 1
A two-year-old race over 1300 metres to start the day – a small field.
Tough race – maybe on exposed form the Stuart Kendrick runner Enterprise Defence (1) may post his first win with Jimmy Orman aboard after two solid runs.
The Lee Freedman trained Appellant (2) scored a solid win on debut at Doomben at a midweek meeting. She ran a good time in that run – Damien Thornton retains the ride.
Selections:
1 – Enterprise Defence 2 – Appellant 4 – Foolsay 7 – Mishani Reactor
Race 2
A Class 3 grade race over 1825 metres. Only a small field.
Jungle Prince (3) has the blinkers off for this run. Solid effort last time out for the Sears Racing team. Was beaten by his stable mate there and looks well placed this weekend – Ryan Maloney will ride.
Texas Fireball (4) is trained by Matthew Dunn – Jimmy Orman will ride. He did finish in front of Jungle Prince (3) last time out – looks like the race is between the two of them.
Selections:
3 – Jungle Prince 4 – Texas Fireball 2 – He’s For The Girls 5 – New Joy
Race 3
An Open class race over 1000 metres – only seven runners.
Just box the three Steven O’Dea and Matthew Hoysted runners in the trifecta!
I like the Kyle Wilson Taylor ride – Fetch (5) – put your money on and go “fetch” it after the race from the bookies!
She has had a freshen up and a recent barrier trial – I think she represents good value each way at $7.
The stable mate Hold On Honey (2) resumes from an 18 week spell. A recent nice effort in a trial and looks forward enough to be tough to hold out – Cejay Graham’s claim will come in handy as well.
Selections:
5 – Fetch 2 – Hold On Honey 6 – Red Rubi 1 – Mishani Sniper
Race 4
A BM78 race over 2206 metres – these distance races are always a lottery.
Tony Gollan has Ain’t He Grand (2) in the race – Bailey Wheeler will ride. Surely, he can get the job done here against this lot. I am putting him on top, but with no confidence.
Kris Lees Racing has Oakfield Wallaby (6) making his debut in QLD after racing in midweek grade in Sydney. They usually race well here when they come north and the stable normally unloads on the morning of the race – so I expect there will be plenty of money for him on race day. Andrew Mallyon will ride.
Disputed River (8) is on the quick back up after winning last weekend at Doomben. This Stuart Kendrick runner is looking for a hat trick of wins – Jake Bayliss retains the ride. Do not overlook this runner. He also previously won here over 1835 metres at a midweek meeting.
Selections:
2 – Aint He Grand 6 – Oakfield Wallaby 8 – Disputed River 4 – Clyde
Race 5
A BM78 race over 1400 metres.
Centrestone (5) is a Chris Waller Racing runner with Jimmy Orman riding. This mare won when resuming here back in December. Since then, she has been racing in Sydney posting a win at a midweek race at Kensington three weeks ago. She likes racing off the speed and storming home. There appears to be genuine speed in the race which should suit her.
The Annabel Neasham runner African Daisy (7) has had a gear change with the winkers going on for the first time. Bailey Wheeler has been booked to ride. She was run down here in the shadows of the post four weeks ago. On that occasion they jumped out of the trees to back her and left their money in the bookie’s bags.
Naval Trader (11) is an each-way chance. Boris Thornton will ride. She got bumped and belted at the start then got caught wide from a wide barrier draw. Has drawn barrier 1 here – she could be the one to cause an upset at $6.
Selections:
5 – Centrestone 11 – Naval Trader 7 – African Daisy 9 – Hellavadancer
Race 6
A Class 1 race over 1400 metres. Tough race.
The Tony Gollan runners look well placed here. Petersham (10) was unlucky last time out getting caught wide in the running. Ryan Maloney goes on here and he has drawn better to get a nice trail in the running.
The stablemate is Transatlantic (4) who resumes and has had some recent strong barrier trials. Jimmy Orman will ride. Just some concerns with this runner racing over 1400 metres first up.
Quothquan (3) is trained by John Dann with Jake Molloy riding – his claim will be helpful. This runner has drawn awkwardly in barrier 18. Three weeks ago, he stormed home from back in the field in a similar grade race to finish a strong second – if he gets any luck in the running, he should be in the finish at huge odds - $11.
Selections:
10 – Petersham 3 – Quothquan 4 – Transatlantic 11 – Prado Rough chances – (8) Victoria Roc
Race 7
The first leg of the Quaddie.
BM70 class race over 1200 metres.
Harry Richardson trains Treporti (5) who is having only his third run for the stable. He got too far back at Doomben last start, however, in saying that he was working home well late. That was his best run for the stable. Jake Molloy will ride, and his 3-kilogram claim will be of great assistance with the 61 kilograms allocated to this runner. He is super value at $14.
Kris Lees Racing have three runners engaged in the race. They all have genuine chances. Strapparsi (13) is a last start winner at Doomben. She normally races on the speed – has drawn wide but should be able to get cover and get in. Bailey Wheeler has the ride.
The stablemate is Orbalent (9) with Jimmy Orman riding. He has been racing over 1000 metres. I am just not too sure how effective he will be over 1200 metres – the markets suggest that it will be no problem posting him the favourite at $4. I will let him go at that price and back others.
Baristasista (15) is trained by Rex Lipp and the winkers are going on here with Angela Jones to ride. I think that this mare at her fourth run this preparation could cause an upset. She has drawn well in barrier 6.
Selections:
5 – Treporti 13 – Strapparsi 15– Baristasista 9 – Orbalent Rough chance – (16) Caribbean King & (20) Deferential
Race 8
Class 6 race here over 1200 metres. First leg of the Treble.
Looks like a Gollan Racing win with Millane (5) who resumed with a dominant win. Ryan Maloney will ride. The gelding has never won second up. It may just be the thing that gets him beaten.
If there is one to knock him off it could be Outlawed (12) down in the weights and Robbie Dolan riding. This mare resumes from an 18-week spell – however, she was very strong and looked forward in a recent barrier trial.
Crazy Train (6) I think will go better here. Forget the last run at Doomben – she got too far back.
The Corey and Kylie Geran runners are not without some hope as well – Mahbaby (9) with Kyle Wilson Taylor aboard and Our Magnus (7) with Michael Rood to ride.
Selections:
5 – Millane 12– Outlawed 6 – Crazy Train 9- Mahbaby Rough chance – (7) Our Magnus
Race 9
A three-year-old runners Open class race here over 1400 metres.
Sharp Dazzler (2) has won his past two starts here – his latest win over the mile – he drops back in distance, but I think that he is good enough to get away with this race. Sears Racing trains him – he gets in well at the weights and Cejay Graham will ride and claim 1.5 kilograms.
There are a few roughies here that could cause an upset. Let me start with Miss Sha Blue (9) trained by Glenn Thornton. Damien Thornton will ride. She won two starts and then went to Ipswich and carried 60 kilograms – I just think that she didn’t like the track – so overlook that and look for a bold effort here with no weight on her back.
Meat Pie Artie (5) is trained by Robert Heathcote and has Jake Bayliss in the saddle - has the blinkers going on. Was beaten around 2.5 lengths by Sharp Dazzler (2) in his last start.
Selections:
2 – Sharp Dazzler 9 – Miss Sha Blue 5 – Meat Pie Artie 11 – Grand Master Rough chance – (8) Magic Island
Race 10
It is the last race! A BM68 over the mile Tough way to end the day.
I like a roughie that was back in the field and worked home nicely last start over 1400 metres a fortnight ago. Paul Jenkins trains Lady Le Da (14) and Jimmy Byrne will be riding again. With the speed on and down in the weights, plus the extra distance, I like this mare to cause an upset at $12.
Smooth Torque (15) ran well last start. She got hampered in the final 50 metres last time over the mile at Doomben – not sure if she finishes closer, but with some luck this weekend she should be thereabouts when the judge calls a halt to the race – Ryan Maloney will ride.
Ocean Zar (9) is the early market favourite – trained by Steven O’Dea & Matt Hoysted. She won a midweek race here over 1400 metres – at $1.50. I think that she may struggle to take the step up to weekend grade. In saying that she should get the mile. Boris Thornton retains the ride.
Kinetic (8) is trained by Tony Gollan and Angela Jones is aboard. Three weeks ago, at Doomben, she raced over a mile and performed well. She does enjoy this track – maybe a sharp improvement here.
A rough chance for the Kris Lees runner Five Crowns (5) – he has been racing in NSW and has previously won at this track.
Selections:
14 – Lady Le Da 15 – Smooth Torque 9 – Ocean Zar 8 – Kinetic Rough chance – (5) Five Crowns _______________________________________________________________________
Jockeys Challenge
Looks like an open battle with Jimmy Orman, Cejay Graham, Bailey Wheeler and Ryan Maloney all have solid books of rides. Maybe Maloney can post a win.
Early Quaddie (races 3 to 6)
2,5 / 2,6,8 / 5,7,11 /3,4,10 - cost is $54 to $1.
Value Early Quaddie (races 3 to 6)
5 / 2,6 / 5,11 / 3,10 - cost is $8 to $1.
Quaddie (races 7 to 10)
5,9,13,15 / 5,6,9,12 / 1,2,5,9 / 8,9,14,15 - cost is $256 to $1
Value Quaddie (races 7 to 10)
5,13 / 5,12 / 1,2,9 / 9,14,15 - cost is $36 to $1
Treble (races 8 to 10)
5,6,9,12 / 1,2,5,9 / 8,9,14,15 - cost is $64 to $1
WINNO V FLEMO
The battle continues this week with WINNO and FLEMO. Be sure to check the up to date and amended tips each Saturday morning on Facebook after any track changes and scratchings where I will post our selections and any late mail!
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